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The \u00a0famine\u00a0in the Horn of\u00a0Africa\u00a0used be blame mainly for the drought caused by the global \u00a0climate change ignoring the pricipla culprit the \u00a0the dictatorial regime. \u00a0In the past the same \u00a0has brought regime change in country of\u00a0 hunger Ethiopia two times, \u00a0that of the Negus in 1974 and the Derg \u00a0Military Junta in 1991. As the French says there is no two without three, we expecting a regime change in the country since all conditions are meeting as those of the last two experiences\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0due to the starvation in Wello in 1974 and in Tigre in 1984 which cost the lives of millions in the past. The main culprit for this in human repeated catastrophe this day has been mainly given to the extreme weather conditions demonstrated by hurricanes, floods, droughts all over the globe.<\/p>\n

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The current drought conditions have been caused by successive seasons with very low rainfall due to wanton construction of the dams all over Ethiopia by the dictatorial regime of Melese Zenawie. Over the past decade the Horn of Africa has experienced consecutive failed rainy seasons having direct co-correlation in this period of intensification of damming in the region. \u00a0According to surveys of local communities, this is part of a long-term shift as seen in Borana communities in Ethiopia report that whereas droughts were recorded every six to eight years in the past, they now occur every one to two years since the construction of dams in Omo and Shebelle rivers.<\/p>\n

Today\u2019s rainfall projections are unclear. Most modeling, as reflected in the IPCC’s last assessment, suggests more rain will fall in the east Africa region as a whole, with an increase in “heavy events” (sudden downpours, so more flood risk). However, some recent studies suggest rainfall will decrease, particularly in the long rains. To reverse the trend the regional governments must stop wanton damming and wasteful irrigation likes that of Sudan and Ethiopia. According to IPCC’s last assessment, suggests more rain will fall in the east Africa region as a whole, with an increase in “heavy events” (sudden downpours, so more flood risk). However, some recent studies suggest rainfall will decrease, particularly in the long rains.<\/p>\n

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Since the construction of\u00a0 the Mega dams in the Southern Ethiopia \u00a0the regional meteorological data supported \u00a0the argument by demonstrating the increase of the \u00a0annual temperatures from 1960-2006 by 1C in Kenya and 1.3C in Ethiopia, and the frequency of hot days is increasing in both countries in the region of the dams. However, more recent research suggests that rainfall decreased in the rainy seasons of March to June. \u00a0When it comes to records and data collections like Europe and America climate change could not \u00a0\u00a0be attributed to the Horn of Africa\u2019s drought, since t the current drought is directly climate change. True, there are now a few cases in which scientists have been able to estimate the extent to which man-made climate change has made a particular extreme weather event more likely, but these exercises require reliable long-term weather data that only exists for Europe and North America \u2013 no such studies as yet exist in the case of the current drought.<\/p>\n

What about the future? Globally, climate change modeling projects an increase in the frequency and severity of extreme weather events like droughts and floods. In the absence of urgent action to slash global greenhouse gas emissions, temperatures in the region will probably increase by 3C-4C by 2080-99 relative to 1980-99.\u00a0The combination of higher temperatures and more unpredictable rains is alarming for food production. In a \u00a0 recent estimate horn of Africa could suffer a decline in the length of the growing period for key crops of up to 20% by the end of the century, with the productivity of beans falling by nearly 50% if the dictatorial regimes continue letting land grabbing and disfranchising the local family hold farmers and pastoralist for the sake of this international speculators. \u00a0More over, the dam is prepared for these grabbed lands irrigation for an eventual cash crop cultivation of exportation.<\/p>\n

According Nobel prize-winning economist Amartya Sen that drought is caused by lack of rainfall, famine is man-made, and thus famines do not occur in functioning democracies.<\/p>\n