P<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Prime Minister Meles Zenawi is Ethiopia\u2019s first democratically elected leader.\u00a0 He is currently serving his third term, though his party\u2019s victory in 2005 was widely disputed.\u00a0 While several opposition parties have formed a coalition ahead of the 2010 elections and small militia groups have sought to separate themselves from Ethiopia, Zenawi and his party remain firmly in control of the government.<\/p>\n

The Ethiopian military was one of the few state institutions to remain relatively well-funded during Mengistu\u2019s regime.\u00a0 While the military is well-trained and supplied compared to its neighbors, the Ethiopian army was largely unsuccessful in its attempts to halt the advances of Islamic insurgents in Somalia from 2006-2009.\u00a0 Thousands of troops remain stationed near the Eritrean border, as border disputes still have not been completely settled after the two countries signed a ceasefire agreement in 2000.\u00a0 Ethiopian soldiers have been accused of committing widespread human rights abuses, particularly against women in rural areas.<\/p>\n

The Ethiopian police have been accused of widespread corruption and frequent human rights abuses.\u00a0 The police have a history of crushing most political demonstrations, as well as a reputation as unprofessional and poorly trained.<\/p>\n

While civilian courts remain relatively independent, criminal courts are weak, overburdened, and subject to political intervention.\u00a0 Many judges are largely unqualified, receiving little former training and reaching their posts by political appointment.<\/p>\n

While attempts have been made at civil service reform, little progress has been made.\u00a0 Civil servants are underpaid, making them vulnerable to corruption; they are also poorly-trained and inefficient.\u00a0 Many departments are extremely under-funded, further hampering their ability to operate.<\/p>\n

Prognosis<\/strong>
\n<\/strong>Ethiopia has had difficulty shaking its past history of repressive governments. The first democratically elected government has held a tight grip on power through violence, intimidation, arresting opposition voices, censoring independent media, and restricting human rights monitoring by foreign groups. Ethiopia remains unable to provide food security to its population. The country is prone to drought and flooding.\u00a0 In the predominantly agricultural economy, yearly production is uncertain. The government still relies heavily on international aid for food supply.\u00a0 Ethiopia must focus on diversifying its economy to be able to provide relief to its population when natural disasters do strike as well as improving its woeful education and health services.\u00a0 The 2010 elections will be critical. The current government must allow opposition parties to run a fair campaign and hold a free election, or there will be a high probability of unrest.<\/p>\n

Recent Developments<\/strong> <\/strong><\/p>\n

January 2009:\u00a0 The Ethiopian Parliament passed a law that forbids any foreign NGO\u2014or local NGO that receives at least 10% of its funding from abroad\u2014from activities related to human rights or conflict resolution.<\/p>\n

January\u00a02009:\u00a0 Ethiopian peacekeeping forces began deploying in Darfur.<\/p>\n

June 2009:\u00a0 The Ethiopian government announces a plan to build 5,000 kilometers of new railways, with the assistance of European Union funding.June\u00a02009:\u00a0 Two days after rejecting a plea by the Somali government to redeploy troops, the Ethiopian government agreed to intervene after the request was supported by the African Union.\u00a0 The African Union currently has 4,000 troops stationed in Mogadishu; it remains to be seen how many troops Ethiopia will commit.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

\ufeff\ufeff<\/span><\/p>\n

—————————————–<\/p>\n

Ethiopia <\/strong><\/h1>\n

Failed states of the world 2009<\/h1>\n

——————————————–<\/p>\n

\n<\/strong><\/span><\/span><\/h2>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Methodology Behind CAST<\/span><\/td>\n

<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n

<\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n\n\n\n \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n The CAST methodology presents a framework for early warning and assessment of societies at risk of internal conflict and state collapse. The model can be used to enable the international community to take preventive action to stem conflict, prepare for peacekeeping and stability missions, assess conditions for sustainable security and provide metrics or measures of effectiveness for post-conflict reconstruction. For an example of how the methodology has been used, please see our Iraq reports.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n The steps of the methodology are the following:<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n 1.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n Pre-Assessment Steps \n<\/span> <\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n 2.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n Rating the Twelve Indicators<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n 3.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n Assessing the Core Five<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n 4.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n Identifying STINGS<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n 5.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n Building a Conflict Map<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n ——————————————–<\/p>\n Failed states of the world 2008<\/h1>\n <\/a><\/p>\n ——————————-<\/p>\n Failed states of the world 2007<\/h1>\n <\/a><\/p>\n ——————-<\/p>\n ——————–<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Melese of Ethiopia mastered\u00a0the art of \u00a0silencing \u00a0oppositions, imprisoning \u00a0all all dissents, and\u00a0dumping\u00a0\u00a0elections. \u00a0Melese’s \u00a0 has been in Failed \u00a0and rogue State Index ranking \u00a0behind many of \u00a0the worst \u00a0African dicttors. Melese’s Ethiopia fullfill the 12 indactors of \u00a0Failed States sinece the founding of the orgnaization The Twelve Indicators Click on an indicator to see […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":54,"featured_media":17035,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[29,15,118,289,96,167,165,56,127,111,42,25,188,3],"tags":[291,3839],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"http:\/\/ethiopianism.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/063.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/ethiopianism.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3780"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/ethiopianism.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/ethiopianism.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/ethiopianism.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/54"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/ethiopianism.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3780"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/ethiopianism.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3780\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/ethiopianism.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17035"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/ethiopianism.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3780"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/ethiopianism.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3780"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/ethiopianism.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3780"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}