Somalia the Kurdistan of Africa was known as Puntland prehistorically by the ancient Egypt.\u00a0 Since the Scramble of Africa the Somalis have gone through war and unprecedented conflict. \u00a0\u00a0The Somalis are found today in Kenya, Ethiopia, Djibouti, Puntland, Somaliland and Somalia<\/em>.<\/p>\n

In the post colonial period the Somalis have been victim of extremism and continue foreign intervention: – the US in 94\/95, Ethiopia 2006, and recently they become the center of conflict piracy and instability in the horn of Africa. Most importantly they have been the battle ground for Eritrean and Ethiopian Proxy wars which engulfed the countries of the Great Lakes Uganda and Burundi under sponsored by AU. \u00a0\u00a0A transitional Government has been established under the auspices of the AU and the UN.<\/p>\n

The recent rift between the two top leader of the embattled Somalia is about to collapse mostly from the weakness and the \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0ambivalent \u00a0\u00a0engagement of the AU troops.<\/p>\n

The Transitional\u00a0government of\u00a0Somali\u00a0is highly\u00a0weakened by three principal factures namely:-<\/p>\n

Firstly \u00a0the \u00a0clan politics installed in the colonial past \u00a0\u00a0inside \u00a0Somalia,\u00a0 and\u00a0 the recent TGS which by the\u00a0rift\u00a0between the two\u00a0rivals\u00a0in power- Sharif Ahmed, President and \u00a0 the Premier\u00a0Sharmarke;<\/em><\/p>\n

Secondly\u00a0by a Strong Al Shabab & the Militias advancement supported by the countries of the Red Se cost;<\/em><\/p>\n

Thirdly\u00a0by non\u00a0commitment\u00a0of the AU member\u00a0countries\u00a0to give unconditional support to TGS, and those engaged are half heartedly employed as means to boom the position of the supporting countries strong men\u2019s international stand rather than resolving the Somalian Question Definitively.<\/em><\/p>\n

<\/em><\/p>\n

All these factors are working indirectly for Al Shabab’s advancement. \u00a0The\u00a0continuous\u00a0polemic\u00a0between\u00a0the two will collapse\u00a0the AU supported TGS if not\u00a0resolved\u00a0internally. TGS could not be able \u00a0\u00a0to control outside the\u00a0 \u00a0President\u2019s office residence and the Air port which was targeted by the suicide bombers of Al Shabab few days earlier. The Resent Al Shabab\u2019s \u00a0\u00a0bomb blast at Muna Hotel killed some member of TGS parliament sending shock waves to the AMSOM troops lamenting in Mogadishu. The recent Al-Shabab attack \u00a0 forced the\u00a0Ugandan\u00a0president to send additional troops to help the government in its last battle against Al-Shabab.<\/p>\n

The 6000 strong AU peace keeping force did not succeed to subdue the supposedly Al Qaida supported Somalian street fighters. They are indirectly supported by the government of the Red Sea costs who opposes the Ethiopian and AU supported TGS forces on the ground. \u00a0 Red Sea\u00a0governments\u00a0like\u00a0Yemen, Eritrea and Egypt opposes the\u00a0definitive secession\u00a0Somaliland. The newly elected Islamic Unity party is highly advised to take over Mogadishu by these governments which see their interest compromised.\u00a0 The newly independent Somaliland on the Cost of the Red sea serving as an Ethiopian out let than that of the Traditional Djibouti and Eritrea will weaken their economic and geostrategic interest in long term if the port of Barbara becomes the principal port in the Indian Ocean for the Ethiopian and the newly independent Southern Sudan outlet.<\/p>\n

The continues division between the two top leaders \u00a0will\u00a0precipitate\u00a0the \u00a0end of the TGS as we know it, \u00a0and will be bring a new change breaking the status quo. The TGS Premier\u00a0seemingly has assured the support of the\u00a0Parliament\u00a0and some countries around the region\u00a0against President\u00a0Sharif.<\/p>\n

Somalia’s prime minister resigns amid tensions<\/span><\/p>\n

[media id=249 width=320 height=240]<\/p>\n

[media id=250 width=320 height=240]<\/p>\n

UN wants transitional government to end squabbling as it warns about insurgents becoming a serious security threat.<\/h2>\n

The UN says the al-Shabab group\u00a0is increasingly posing a serious international security threat [Reuters] 14 Sep 2010<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

The United Nations has warned that Somalia insurgents are posing a serious international security threat and made a renewed appeal to the transitional government to end the civil conflict.<\/p>\n

The rise of the al-Shabaab movement has raised concerns among western governments, in addition to the pirates operating out of Somalia ports.<\/p>\n

Somalia will be in the spotlight during a debate at the Security Council on Thursday and a top level ministerial meeting on the conflict at the UN General Assembly summit next week.<\/p>\n

Ban Ki-moon, the UN secretary-general, said “horrific” suicide bomb attacks by al-Shabaab followers in Uganda in July had shown the growing threat from the al-Qaeda inspired group.<\/p>\n

Some 76 people were killed in that attack.<\/p>\n

‘Security threat’<\/strong><\/p>\n

“The attacks demonstrated that al-Shabaab remains a serious security threat for Somalia, the sub-region and the wider international community,” Ban said in a report to the Security Council on Monday.<\/p>\n

The UN report said the Somali capital’s “already weak health services are struggling to cope with casualties”, citing thousands of reported deaths in Mogadishu this year.<\/p>\n

A special envoy for Ban, Augustine Mahiga, an African Union envoy, Boubacar Diarra, and an East African peace envoy, Kipruto Arap Kirwa, were at Mogadishu airport on Thursday to meet Sharif Sheikh Ahmed, the head of the transitional government, when a suicide bomber killed five people there.<\/p>\n

The three envoys said on Monday the government is in disarray and warned that the divisions were “potentially very damaging” to efforts to end the chaos.<\/p>\n

The transitional government is scheduled to end in August 2011, and analysts say it has achieved little so far.<\/p>\n

Political battles<\/strong><\/p>\n

Repeated political battles in recent months have seen the president dissolve the cabinet and the parliament speaker resign.<\/p>\n

“Somali forces and [AMISOM troops] risk their lives each day to protect the transitional federation institutions and defend the integrity of the peace process,” the three envoys said in a statement released in Nairobi.<\/p>\n

“The leaders and politicians need to demonstrate their unity of purpose to show they are working together to restore peace to Somalia.”<\/p>\n

Ban sent a similar message highlighting international efforts to promote peace in spite of the “internal disputes” and “political complications”.<\/p>\n

The UN chief said the international financial crisis has hit efforts to boost the African peacekeeping force.<\/p>\n

“I remind all parties to the conflict that those found responsible for war crimes will face justice,” Ban said.<\/p>\n

“In that regard I support the proposal to document the most serious violations committed, as an essential step in the fight against impunity.”<\/p>\n