Elusive Peace of Fr\u00e8res Enemie <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\ufeffThe recent ICG group\u00a0analysis about \u00a0Eritrea \u00a0 has been based on sets of\u00a0 journalistic\u00a0\u00a0i<\/em><\/strong>deological premises<\/em> which concluded that ; \u00a0 \u201c\u00a0Authoritarianism \u00a0is Hemorrhaging Eritrean legitimacy of the state and \u00a0leading to become a fallen state\u201c \u00a0from \u00a0being a \u00a0 Siege state<\/em>.” \u00a0The same\u00a0analysis\u00a0is fully applicable to the Ethiopian regime led by Asmara\u2019s boy\u00a0 \u00a0 Melese Zenawie. \u00a0ICG’s \u00a0 \u00a0stated objective on\u00a0writing\u00a0the Report N\u00b0\u00a0163 of 21 Sep 2010 is\u00a0supposedly<\/p>\n\u201cTo<\/strong> <\/em>prevent Eritrea from becoming the Horn of Africa\u2019s next failed state \u201c. <\/em>This is Report in contradiction with different international analysis given\u00a0to the definition of failed state to this day. Furthermore, \u00a0 the report failed to give the \u00a0 definition\u00a0and\u00a0deference\u00a0between failed and siege states. \u00a0It rather enumerated historical chronology of events than defining the dynamics of a\u00a0failed or regime in siege. \u00a0The paper lucks a conceptual and methodological frame work or a research approach to a failed state.<\/p>\nIf we take the 2009 failed state index according to Foreign Policy, Eritrea \u00a0stood\u00a036th 20 point better than <\/sup>Ethiopia on the 16th place \u00a0among 177 countries of the world failed state index, that simply means Ethiopia is worst than Eritrea. This analysis has given detailed parameters that defined failed states. While \u00a0 the ICG Report did not even defined what a state in siege means in order to demonstrate Eritrean domestically\u00a0aggravated\u00a0siege. The Fund for peace defined\u00a0Failed\u00a0sates based on the\u00a0following\u00a0indicators:-<\/p>\n\n\n\nThe Twelve Indicators according to <\/span><\/strong>THE FUND FOR PEACE are <\/span><\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n\nClick on an indicator to see some examples of measures that may be included in the analysis of that indicator. These are neither exclusive nor exhaustive. You can add more measures, as appropriate.\u00a0 \n<\/strong> \n Social Indicators<\/span><\/em><\/strong> \n<\/strong> <\/strong><\/span> I-1.\u00a0 Mounting Demographic Pressures \n<\/strong> <\/strong><\/span> I-2.\u00a0 Massive Movement of Refugees or Internally Displaced Persons creating\u00a0 \n<\/strong> Complex Humanitarian Emergencies \n<\/strong> <\/strong><\/span> I-3.\u00a0 Legacy of Vengeance-Seeking Group Grievance or Group Paranoia \n<\/strong> <\/strong><\/span> I-4.\u00a0 Chronic and Sustained Human Flight \n<\/strong> \n<\/span> Economic Indicators<\/span><\/em><\/strong> \n<\/strong> <\/strong><\/span> I-5.\u00a0 Uneven Economic Development along Group Lines \n<\/strong> <\/strong><\/span> I-6.\u00a0 Sharp and\/or Severe Economic Decline \n<\/strong> \n Political Indicators<\/span><\/em><\/strong> \n<\/strong> <\/strong><\/span> I-7.\u00a0 Criminalization and\/or Delegitimization of the State \n<\/strong> <\/strong><\/span> I-8.\u00a0 Progressive Deterioration of Public Services \n<\/strong> <\/strong><\/span> I-9.\u00a0 Suspension or Arbitrary Application of the Rule of Law and Widespread\u00a0 \n<\/strong> Violation of Human Rights \n<\/strong> <\/strong><\/span> I-10. Security Apparatus Operates as a “State Within a State” \n<\/strong> <\/strong><\/span> I-11. Rise of Factionalized Elites \n<\/strong> <\/strong><\/span> I-12. Intervention of Other States or External Political Actors<\/p>\n\n\n\nRank<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/td>\nCountry<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/td>\nI-1<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/td>\nI-2<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/td>\nI-3<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/td>\nI-4<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/td>\nI-5<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/td>\nI-6<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/td>\nI-7<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/td>\nI-8<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/td>\nI-9<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/td>\nI-10<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/td>\nI-11<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/td>\nI-12<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/td>\nTotal<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n\n1<\/span><\/strong><\/td>\nSomalia<\/span><\/strong><\/td>\n9.8<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.9<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.7<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.5<\/span><\/td>\n | 7.7<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.5<\/span><\/td>\n | 10.0<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.9<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.9<\/span><\/td>\n | 10.0<\/span><\/td>\n | 10.0<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.8<\/span><\/td>\n | 114.7<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n\n2<\/span><\/strong><\/td>\nZimbabwe<\/span><\/strong><\/td>\n9.8<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.1<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.1<\/span><\/td>\n | 10.0<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.7<\/span><\/td>\n | 10.0<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.8<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.8<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.9<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.7<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.5<\/span><\/td>\n | 7.6<\/span><\/td>\n | 114.0<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n\n3<\/span><\/strong><\/td>\nSudan<\/span><\/strong><\/td>\n9.0<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.8<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.9<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.0<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.6<\/span><\/td>\n | 7.0<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.8<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.5<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.8<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.7<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.5<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.8<\/span><\/td>\n | 112.4<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n\n4<\/span><\/strong><\/td>\nChad<\/span><\/strong><\/td>\n9.3<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.4<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.8<\/span><\/td>\n | 7.8<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.3<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.3<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.8<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.6<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.5<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.9<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.8<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.7<\/span><\/td>\n | 112.2<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n\n5<\/span><\/strong><\/td>\nDem. Rep. of the Congo<\/span><\/strong><\/td>\n9.7<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.6<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.9<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.1<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.3<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.3<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.6<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.2<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.0<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.7<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.7<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.6<\/span><\/td>\n | 108.7<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n\n6<\/span><\/strong><\/td>\nIraq<\/span><\/strong><\/td>\n8.7<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.9<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.7<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.1<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.6<\/span><\/td>\n | 7.6<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.0<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.4<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.3<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.7<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.6<\/span><\/td>\n | 10.0<\/span><\/td>\n | 108.6<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n\n7<\/span><\/strong><\/td>\nAfghanistan<\/span><\/strong><\/td>\n9.3<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.9<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.6<\/span><\/td>\n | 7.2<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.4<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.3<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.8<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.9<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.8<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.9<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.1<\/span><\/td>\n | 10.0<\/span><\/td>\n | 108.2<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n\n8<\/span><\/strong><\/td>\nCentral African Republic<\/span><\/strong><\/td>\n8.9<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.0<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.6<\/span><\/td>\n | 5.7<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.1<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.4<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.3<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.3<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.9<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.6<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.5<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.1<\/span><\/td>\n | 105.4<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n\n9<\/span><\/strong><\/td>\nGuinea<\/span><\/strong><\/td>\n8.5<\/span><\/td>\n | 7.1<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.2<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.6<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.9<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.7<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.8<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.2<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.0<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.4<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.2<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.0<\/span><\/td>\n | 104.6<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n\n10<\/span><\/strong><\/td>\nPakistan<\/span><\/strong><\/td>\n8.3<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.6<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.6<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.3<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.8<\/span><\/td>\n | 6.4<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.1<\/span><\/td>\n | 7.5<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.9<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.5<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.6<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.5<\/span><\/td>\n | 104.1<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n\n11<\/span><\/strong><\/td>\nIvory Coast<\/span><\/strong><\/td>\n8.6<\/span><\/td>\n | 7.8<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.0<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.4<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.1<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.3<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.1<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.0<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.5<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.5<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.5<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.7<\/span><\/td>\n | 102.5<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n\n12<\/span><\/strong><\/td>\nHaiti<\/span><\/strong><\/td>\n9.3<\/span><\/td>\n | 5.8<\/span><\/td>\n | 7.3<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.6<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.2<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.9<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.2<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.5<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.5<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.4<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.3<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.8<\/span><\/td>\n | 101.8<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n\n13<\/span><\/strong><\/td>\nBurma<\/span><\/strong><\/td>\n9.0<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.8<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.9<\/span><\/td>\n | 6.0<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.5<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.2<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.5<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.0<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.0<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.4<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.7<\/span><\/td>\n | 6.5<\/span><\/td>\n | 101.5<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n\n14<\/span><\/strong><\/td>\nKenya<\/span><\/strong><\/td>\n9.0<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.0<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.6<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.3<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.8<\/span><\/td>\n | 7.5<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.0<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.0<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.2<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.0<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.8<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.2<\/span><\/td>\n | 101.4<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n\n15<\/span><\/strong><\/td>\nNigeria<\/span><\/strong><\/td>\n8.5<\/span><\/td>\n | 5.3<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.7<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.3<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.5<\/span><\/td>\n | 6.6<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.2<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.0<\/span><\/td>\n | 8.6<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.4<\/span><\/td>\n | 9.6<\/span><\/td>\n | 6.1<\/span><\/td>\n | 99.8<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n\n16<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/td>\nEthiopia<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/td>\n9.4<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n8.0<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n8.2<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n7.7<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n8.8<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n8.3<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n7.9<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n8.2<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n8.5<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n7.5<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n8.8<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |