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{"id":6549,"date":"2010-09-08T10:30:50","date_gmt":"2010-09-08T08:30:50","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/ethiopianism.net\/?p=6549"},"modified":"2010-09-15T06:09:22","modified_gmt":"2010-09-15T04:09:22","slug":"lamu-archipelago-the-new-eastern-africa-gate-way-for-land-locked-ethiopia-southern-sudan-muse-tegegne-prof","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ethiopianism.net\/6549\/lamu-archipelago-the-new-eastern-africa-gate-way-for-land-locked-ethiopia-southern-sudan-muse-tegegne-prof\/","title":{"rendered":"LAMU Archipelago the New Eastern Africa gate way for land locked Ethiopia & Southern Sudan Muse Tegegne, Prof."},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/h1>\n

The new Kenyan Lamu port is the futuristic\u00a0\u00a0Eastern\u00a0African gate way \u00a0for the \u00a0land \u00a0locked countries like Ethiopia, Southern Sudan, Uganda \u00a0and\u00a0central\u00a0African Republic. While ports like Mobassa and Dar es Salaam are over\u00a0stretched\u00a0 due to their\u00a0increasing\u00a0Great Lake markets. The Eastern\u00a0African\u00a0ports like\u00a0Djibouti\u00a0Barbara\u00a0Asseb seem stranded by the\u00a0belligerent\u00a0conflict, increasing\u00a0piracy\u00a0and \u00a0Somalian conflict engulfing\u00a0Yemen. The futur of Red Sea has been endagnered due to geopolitical change in the region.<\/p>\n

Geo-strategy<\/p>\n

The extraction of \u00a0natural gas from the \u00a0Indian Ocean region\u00a0stretching to\u00a0\u00a0Ethiopia, Egypt, and other countries of the Red Sea region will \u00a0be \u00a0precipitating a collapse in price for gas and petroleum, will further create un expected increase in the conflict \u00a0the\u00a0passage\u00a0through the Red Sea.<\/p>\n

China and Japan\u00a0Financing <\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Concerning\u00a0 the\u00a0budget\u00a0of \u00a0construction for this big project, <\/span> China here is particularly interesting in the context of the political economy of the regions \u00a0and her increasing \u00a0role on the continent. The <\/span> Japan is \u00a0 planning to build a pipeline from South Sudan to share from the source of the region seeing the conflict in the Gulf and Red Sea costs to assure her\u00a0energy\u00a0supply. \u00a0Lamu \u00a0will enable China far easier access to Africa\u2019s East coast as inn the historical past with this port.<\/span><\/p>\n

China\u2019s \u00a0environmentally reckless attitude in its Africa policy has increased \u00a0her\u00a0critics\u00a0due to \u00a0the social and environmental impacts of a new port will <\/span><\/strong>off course a<\/span><\/strong> have lasting effect on the \u00a0traditional Swahili \u00a0 fisherman unless the necessary measures are taken to enhance them too cope with the <\/span><\/strong>coming<\/span><\/strong> <\/span><\/strong>inevitable<\/span><\/strong> <\/span><\/strong>destruction <\/span><\/strong>to their <\/span><\/strong>traditional<\/span><\/strong> habitat. <\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

The United States, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates, India are \u00a0financial supporters of various aspects associated with this\u00a0project.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Egypt Further Menaced <\/strong><\/p>\n

Egypt since the recent Nile accord which was singed\u00a0against\u00a0its wishes by the\u00a0countries\u00a0of the Nile Basin has forced her to\u00a0\u00a0covertly support radicals in the Horn to \u00a0weaken Ethiopia and \u00a0to be able to revive its dominance of the Red Sea and the sea lane which links to Egypt\u2019s Suez Canal. Estimated Ethiopian gas reserves, were reported at 12.46 TCF, will \u00a0be expanded as it has descovred great gass reserve in Ogadean. Malaysian State-owned oil and gas company Petroliam Nasional \u00a0is working \u00a0in its reserves in the Ogaden basin region of Ethiopia. Petronas is one of about 85 companies which have oil and gas exploration licenses in Ethiopia, but the Malaysia must soon pump gas \u00a0though \u00a0safer pipe to Kenya than the ever\u00a0conflicting \u00a0Red Sea through\u00a0Djibouti. \u00a0This surely will\u00a0\u00a0thus\u00a0diminishing\u00a0the importance of the Sues Canal , Dijibuti and Asseb, Berebara as \u00a0a door way to world\u00a0energy\u00a0 when \u00a0natural\u00a0gas bust out and repalce \u00a0petroleum in the world market\u00a0\u00a0very very soon.<\/p>\n

Egypt sooner than later \u00a0must enter in an open conflict in the horn of Africa\u00a0supporting\u00a0one or more of the \u00a0faction in order\u00a0to survive by assuring the Red Sea as a\u00a0dominance\u00a0passage to the new\u00a0geopolitical\u00a0gas. Egypt further must stop Ethiopia and Kenya from repartitioning Somalia as\u00a0recently\u00a0incited \u00a0.<\/p>\n

Ethiopia in search \u00a0a gate way <\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Governments \u00a0in\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0a land \u00a0landlocked countries \u00a0like Ethiopia, Uganda,\u00a0Central\u00a0African\u00a0Republic and \u00a0Southern Sudan\u00a0 Must use Lamu \u00a0port \u00a0than any other port\u00a0 in the region \u00a0for\u00a0 secure their \u00a0exportation. \u00a0The Ethiopian regime’s plan to build a recent pipeline to the Somaliland port of Barbara will not be viable since the opposite \u00a0\u00a0Islamic Unity party took power in July 2010 and more \u00a0instability will follow if it join Mogadishu. \u00a0\u00a0Any sensible government in Ethiopia must back Lamu project as the only viable \u00a0\u00a0and safe sea port for future gas or any exportation to the fast growing \u00a0Asia,\u00a0 South Africa and even as well as \u00a0to \u00a0Europe.<\/p>\n

The estimates for the construction cover 1,000 acres in the region of Manda Bay in\u00a0Lamu District \u00a0 including\u00a0plans for an oil refinery and terminal, international airport and railway track to Juba in Southern Sudan.<\/p>\n

Prof. MT<\/p>\n

<\/object><\/object><\/object><\/span><\/p>\n

Multi-billion-shilling Lamu project now taking shape<\/h1>\n

By\u00a0DAVID OKWEMBAH dokwemba@ke.nationmedia.com
\nPosted\u00a0Saturday, September 4\u00a02010\u00a0at\u00a022:12<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Construction of Kenya\u2019s second seaport in Lamu is taking shape with sketches already drawn and aerial photomapping being done in towns along the route.<\/p>\n

The government\u2019s lead consultant on the multi-billion-shilling project revealed that detailed designs for the first three berths are ready while hydraulic surveys have been completed.<\/p>\n

Dr Mutule Kilonzo and the minister for Transport Amos Kimunya separately said the Japanese consultants hired by the government last April would submit the financial implications of constructing the port in a report next month.<\/p>\n

Lamu Port and Manda Bay<\/p>\n

\u2022Standard gauge railway line to Juba
\n\u2022Road network
\n\u2022Oil pipelines (Southern Sudan and Ethiopia)
\nOil refinery at Lamu Three
\n\u2022Airports
\nThree resort cities (Lamu, Isiolo and Lake Turkana shores)<\/p>\n

The transport corridor is expected to serve an estimated population of 85 million Ethiopians and another 15 million from Southern Sudan. Once completed, LAPSSET is intended to increase business opportunities in tourism, agriculture and manufacturing.<\/p>\n

Japan Port Consultant was given 10 months last May to carry out a feasibility study on the port as well as give an estimated cost for the project. During the last financial year, the government allocated Sh500 million for the studies. \u201cIn one-and-a-half months the port will have taken shape,\u201d Dr Kilonzo said in an interview.<\/p>\n

The government\u2019s lead consultant said aerial photomapping was ongoing in Isiolo and Garissa that are among towns to be served by a standard gauge railway line that will run in to Southern Sudan. A transcontinental highway is to run parallel to the railway line, giving landlocked countries like Ethiopia and Southern Sudan access to the Indian Ocean coast.<\/p>\n

Dr Kilonzo noted that a final report on the various surveys, including hydraulic, bathymetric (study of underwater depth) and geophysical would be ready at the end of next month. He said the consultants from Japan had also visited Southern Sudan and Ethiopia to gather information for the projected port.<\/p>\n

Officials in Juba and Addis Ababa are reported to have expressed high expectations on the port. Mr Kimunya said the consultants were conducting studies on the speed of water and wind as well as carrying out surveys in the Indian Ocean and Manda Bay. \u201cThey need to establish the depth of the sea and whether dredging is necessary,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n

The ministry of Lands has set aside 1,000 acres for the port\u2019s quay in what many see as Kenya\u2019s new coastal town that may link Africa\u2019s northeastern coast to the West. Mr Kimunya confirmed that the proceeds of the sale of Nairobi\u2019s Grand Regency hotel to a Libyan company amounting to Sh2.5 billion were still being held by the Treasury for the project.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe money is held in trust by Treasury for the project,\u201d the minister said of the project, reported to be close to President Kibaki\u2019s heart. The minister cautioned land speculators who have swarmed Lamu hoping to make a killing when the government eventually embarks on the construction of the port. \u201cThey (speculators) should know that land in Lamu will not be acquired by government,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n

China and Japan are among the countries that have shown an interest in funding the Lamu Port project.<\/p>\n

LAMU PORT MAYBE THE WHITEST OF ALL WHITE ELEPHANTS \u2013 JAINDI\u00a0KIS<\/h3>\n

According to theory, grandly designed infrastructure projects tend to pose high corruption risks. Corrupt influence may be brought to bear especially at the design stage on projects, their scope and components made unnecessarily complex just to increase the potential for corrupt earnings especially during procurement.<\/p>\n

These days, anti-corruption watchdogs advise that all large and complex infrastructure projects be subjected to thorough corruption-risk assessment right from their feasibility studies stage to the very end. I make the remarks as an entry to point to a discussion on the multi-billion shilling Lamu Port project.<\/p>\n

By all accounts, this is a grandly-designed project with multiple components. Is it not just astonishing that we are going to pay the consultant a massive Sh3.2 billion for a nine-month feasibility study?<\/p>\n

Already, the consultant, Japan Port Consultants of Tokyo, has been paid Sh500 million hardly three months after being contracted.<\/p>\n

The thinking behind the conception of this project is the following:<\/p>\n

First, the government recognises that it will not be able to raise the money to finance the actual building of this mammoth project. In the circumstances, it is convinced that the best option is to invite private sector operators to finance and build the port, and then operate it for a given length of time under a concession before it is eventually returned to the government\u2019s ownership. The arrangement is what is known as a \u201cbuild operate and transfer\u201d project, commonly referred to as BOT.<\/p>\n

The billions of shillings we are spending on the studies and \u201cdetailed designs\u201d are meant to generate information the government will use to lure interested investors. Indeed, part of the reason why we are paying the colossal amount for the studies is because the Japanese have been asked to go to the extent of producing \u201cdetailed designs\u201d for several components of the project.<\/p>\n

Several questions arise. Why are we spending billions of shillings of taxpayers\u2019 money to do detailed designs for projects we intend to sell to third parties who will have their own ideas of how to build the port? Does this make economic sense?<\/p>\n

Why can\u2019t we just do inexpensive basic studies and leave actual detail-designing to be handled by prospective BOT investors, depending on their financial and technical capacities? As it is, we risk ending up with piles of expensively produced designs for projects which might not see the light of day.<\/p>\n

We have several cases where public institutions have had to pay millions of shillings for designs of projects, which did not take off.<\/p>\n

Last year, the National Hospital Insurance Fund paid Sh390 million to consultants who did detailed designs for a training centre the fund had planned for in 2001 in the Karen area. The project did not materialise.<\/p>\n

Then there is the case where the State-controlled Kenya Re-insurance Corporation in 1997 spent hundreds of millions of shillings for designs for a multi-million shilling airport transit hotel, which was never built.<\/p>\n

Clearly, the scope of feasibility studies job for the Lamu Port project has been made unnecessarily complex. In all, it has a total of seven components. It encompasses a master-plan, including detailed designs for the first three berths.<\/p>\n

Then there will be studies for a standard gauge railway line between Lamu and Juba, an oil pipeline from Lamu to Lokichoggio and Moyale, an oil refinery, new road networks, a new airport and a free port, and fibre-optic cables. In addition, three resort cities are to be built at Manda Bay, Isiolo and on the shores of Lake Turkana.<\/p>\n

Without doubt, the Lamu project is a good one. The whole idea of creating an alternative transport corridor makes a great deal of sense. If we don\u2019t do a good job of the cost and scope of the feasibility study, we may end up with corruption and several white elephants.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The new Kenyan Lamu port is the futuristic\u00a0\u00a0Eastern\u00a0African gate way \u00a0for the \u00a0land \u00a0locked countries like Ethiopia, Southern Sudan, Uganda \u00a0and\u00a0central\u00a0African Republic. While ports like Mobassa and Dar es Salaam are over\u00a0stretched\u00a0 due to their\u00a0increasing\u00a0Great Lake markets. The Eastern\u00a0African\u00a0ports like\u00a0Djibouti\u00a0Barbara\u00a0Asseb seem stranded by the\u00a0belligerent\u00a0conflict, increasing\u00a0piracy\u00a0and \u00a0Somalian conflict engulfing\u00a0Yemen. The futur of Red Sea has been […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":54,"featured_media":11234,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[43,2016,2017],"tags":[4195,2021,2019,2018,2020],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/ethiopianism.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/05\/052.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ethiopianism.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6549"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ethiopianism.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ethiopianism.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ethiopianism.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/54"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ethiopianism.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6549"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ethiopianism.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6549\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ethiopianism.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/11234"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ethiopianism.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6549"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ethiopianism.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6549"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ethiopianism.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6549"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}